Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.181928 0.208104 0.237395 0.272725 0.314348 0.362022 0.421044
2025-11-23 0.137999 0.171592 0.213061 0.268548 0.341656 0.435820 0.568128
2025-11-30 0.116583 0.153987 0.203605 0.275392 0.378526 0.524371 0.751795
2025-12-07 0.098799 0.136588 0.189549 0.270978 0.396296 0.587505 0.912809
2025-12-14 0.087337 0.125496 0.181542 0.272386 0.420946 0.663669 1.111140
2025-12-21 0.078085 0.115969 0.173903 0.272236 0.441944 0.736879 1.322414
2025-12-28 0.072043 0.110321 0.171105 0.278872 0.474715 0.836175 1.608665
2026-01-04 0.066489 0.104621 0.167245 0.282732 0.502763 0.932233 1.916544
2026-01-11 0.061797 0.099691 0.163883 0.286686 0.531325 1.035093 2.271210
2026-01-18 0.058301 0.096322 0.162685 0.294252 0.568117 1.163049 2.727873
2026-01-25 0.054343 0.091675 0.158567 0.295449 0.591815 1.267683 3.163460
2026-02-01 0.050688 0.087164 0.154124 0.295243 0.612307 1.369629 3.630497
2026-02-08 0.047088 0.082463 0.148919 0.293006 0.628596 1.467501 4.133116
2026-02-15 0.043609 0.077659 0.143004 0.288465 0.638881 1.553519 4.640099
2026-02-22 0.041742 0.075745 0.142587 0.295907 0.679839 1.733551 5.552002
2026-03-01 0.038875 0.071591 0.137137 0.291107 0.688837 1.825833 6.196022
2026-03-08 0.036863 0.068955 0.134559 0.292638 0.714891 1.976846 7.154648
2026-03-15 0.034891 0.066217 0.131465 0.292476 0.736367 2.120478 8.171408
2026-03-22 0.033671 0.064921 0.131362 0.299692 0.780414 2.352887 9.747579
2026-03-29 0.032313 0.063208 0.130142 0.303890 0.816635 2.571242 11.421430
2026-04-05 0.031062 0.061613 0.129021 0.308192 0.854287 2.808853 13.394361
2026-04-12 0.030152 0.060682 0.129337 0.316426 0.906509 3.122826 16.098514
2026-04-19 0.028871 0.058817 0.127251 0.317729 0.936391 3.359298 18.557111